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The Meadowlands:
Saturday April 17, 2010
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PART ONE
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THE SELECTIONS FOR TODAY
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Friends, here are my selections for today's racing at the Meadowlands in New Jersey.
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If you know anything about my system then you will understand that I look at eight considerations when determining what horses I will betting on. I assign points to my horses and then simply add up the points in order to pick the five horses that I will be using in my system. I use only four horses in a short field of seven horses or less.
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I just finished looking at the first nine races and here are my top five horses for these races. Remember, the horses are rated from the best to the least, but ALL of them will be used in my betting system. For, if you have spent any time at all playing the harness racing game then you will appreciate that ANY horse can win a race. What we have done with my system is try and simplify things a bit and that is why I am using my top five picks in any given race.
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MY PICKS
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RACE 1: 5-1-8-2-4 Optional One dollar key bet: 5/8-4-2
RACE 2: 2-3-6-5-7 ( Optional ) 3/2-6-7
RACE 3: 4-6-1-2-7 ( Optional ) 4/6-7-1
RACE 4: 1-2-6-8-10 ( Optional ) Not applicable *
RACE 5: 7-1-3-6-5 ( Optional ) 7/3-1-5
RACE 6: 9-6-3-2-7 (Optional ) Not applicable
RACE 7: 3-2-4-10-8 ( Optional ) 3/2-10-9
RACE 8: 5-9-6-2-1 ( Optional ) Not applicable
RACE 9: 5-10-8-3-7 ( Optional ) 5/10-7-4
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Friends, these are my tentative picks for today's racing at the Meadowlands. At the time of publication of this post I do not know about about any changes or scratches. Sometimes, scratches change the whole betting scheme and new numbers must be introduced. If there are no changes or scratches then the above numbers are the ones that I will be using.
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HOW TO BET:
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I use different methods when I am betting the Meadowlands and also Woodbine in Toronto.. My standard bet is a fourteen dollar one, using my top five picks as shown above. For example, in Race 1 here is how I will make my one dollar bets. The first bet that I will make is to box my top three horses and in Race 1 that is 5-1-8. So, I will purchase for six dollars a one dollar triactor box. All of the horses are covered in a box bet and it doesn't matter which one wins because I will have all of the bases covered.
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My next bet will be to use the remaining horses in my combinations. Remember, any horse can win in any horse race. But, I have tried to narrow things down a bit with my handicapping. My system is not perfect or foolproof, but in my mind, I am getting my money's worth so to speak. Anyway, my next bets are all KEY BETS. A Key bet means that one horse must win the race, but it doesn't matter what happens with the other horses in the race; they can come in second or third in the triactor example.
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Here is how I bring the rest of my horses in the betting pattern:
Remember, my horses in order of preference are: 5-1-8-2-4 and I have already boxed 5-1-8. I will now use horses 2 and 4. They will both be keyed to win and to come in second or third. Here are the one dollar key bets. Each individual bet costs two dollars because there are two combinations in each bet. Remember, the key horse ( the first horse before the slash ) has to win, but the others can place or show or come in second or third.
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2/5-1
5/1-2
4/5-1
5/1-4
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I have now just bet another 8 dollars for a total of 14 dollars. This is my standard bet. But, sometimes I will bet 24 dollars depending on the circumstances. Here is what a 24 dollar bet would look like using the five horses ( 5-1-8-2-4 ) in Race number 1. They are all key bets. The first horse HAS to win, but it doesn't matter how the other races end up, just as long as they are second or third.
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5/1-8-2 ( six dollars )
1/5-8-2 ( six dollars )
8/5-1-2 ( six dollars )
2/5-1 ( two dollars )
4/5-1 ( two dollars )
5/1-4 ( two dollars )
Total bets equals 24 dollars.
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Another consideration is to bet 60 dollars per race. I have never bet this amount of money on one race before, but if you do then you will be increasing your chances of winning. A 60 dollar bet would mean boxing your top five horses and it doesn't matter what happens just as long as any three of them are either first, second, or third.
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I usually just bet 14 dollars per race, but sometimes I bet an extra 6 dollars and bet my Optional combinations. The reason I do this is because I might be missing one of the horses that I need to win. Also, you might even win two times if the right horses come in. The Optional Horse are a result of a bit of extra handicapping that I do. I am simply looking at an extra consideration or the ninth item on my list. However, my main system is based on eight considerations.
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THREAT HORSES
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Sometime in a race there is something that I term a " threat " horse. This horse is not part of my regular system and poses a threat to the vitality of my system. Usually these are horses coming off a qualifier, but there are other considerations as well. At any rate, they are horses that the system has not picked. You simply do not know how these horses are going to perform, so for an extra two dollars or sometimes four dollars I will use these horse winning over my top two horses. And, similarly I will have my top horse keyed to this threat horse as well as my third pick in my system.
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SUMMARY
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I hope this short introduction was helpful to you in understanding my harness triactor system. Nothing is perfect and my system is certainly no example of perfection. Remember, ANY horse can come out of nowhere and foil your best handicapping efforts and that is why you should view harness racing as a sport and as a form of entertainment and not as a sure fire way to make money. IT AIN'T GOING TO HAPPEN. Just be lucky if you break even on any given harness night. That is how I approach the sport. It is like going out to dinner on a Saturday night and getting somebody else to pay for your dinner. If you are lucky then that is what will happen. Remember, harness racing is a form of gambling and you have to be comfortable with the idea of losing money when you play this kind of sport. THERE ARE NO GUARANTEES IN HORSE RACING AND NONE FROM ME EITHER. YOU ARE ON YOUR OWN.
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* Optional betting not applicable. You don't have to spend another six dollars to cover or back up a fourteen dollar ( spending 20 dollars on a race ) bet when the horses in the regular system ( 8 considerations ) do not conflict with the additional 9th feature. Hopefully, in the future I can show you a win where I have spent an exta 6 dollars that resulted in a win that would not be produced from my regular system.
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You can check out how I did
by linking to Part Two here:
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Disclaimer:
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The above is offered for entertainment and amusement purposes only.
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Posted at approximately 10:00 AM Pacific Coast Time
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